Has price cut back and closed above the key level like I discuss in the trading lesson The Secrets Traders Can Learn From Price Action. Traders looking to make trades from the key supply and demand levels can use high probability reversal trigger signals such as the pin bar and engulfing bar, but the super important point is that these need to be played from the correct swing points.

The best method for hunting high probability reversal setups is to mark down the daily supply and demand levels on the charts and then use the same major level to either target trades on the daily time frame or other intraday time frames such as the 8 hour, 4 hour, 1 hour or possibly lower time frames always ensuring that the intraday setups are played during the optimum sessions of the UK and US trading sessions.

A big mistake that traders tend to easily fall into is making reversal trades from the incorrect areas on the chart, both from the incorrect swing points and supply and demand levels. This can be an easy mistake to fall into, but can also be easily fixed with the correct trading education and practice. Where this can sometimes be tricky for traders is that price can make a shallow or small retracement with a reversal trigger signal rejecting a supply or demand area.

An example of this scenario is below where both a pin bar and bearish engulfing bar BEEB are at an extreme low and would be at an extremely dangerous area to take short trades from. As the example above shows; both the pin bar and BEEB are at a swing low and by taking a short trade from this pin bar and engulfing bar it would be shorting at a low or selling low and hoping for price to move even lower. As with any business in life, Forex is the same in that to make money you need to buy cheap and at sell at a higher price to make money or if short selling sell high and buy back lower.

There is a difference and traders need to take note of this. Just because a reversal trigger signal forms rejecting a supply or demand level, it does NOT mean it has formed at a correct swing point.

What we are looking to avoid is the situation where price is in the chart above where price fires off a pin bar or another reversal signal at an extreme high or low where price has not made a rotation or retracement. Traders can watch the weekly trade ideas where I post daily setups and commentary of the market to see how this works in the live market each day.

When entering from supply or demand levels using reversals trigger signals it is even more important that this rule is followed of entering from the correct swing highs or lows because if entering from an incorrect swing point it will mean more often than not that you are entering at the extreme high or low where the big money is often looking to exit the market after a big move has been made. As the chart shows below; after making a strong move lower there would be some big money in this move that would be sitting on paper profits or in other words; profits that until they close their trades are only seen on paper.

After this large move lower, they would be looking to cover some of their position and take profit and this is often why at the end of these long strong moves either higher or lower, small rejection candles form such as small pin bars or rejection candles.

These are fake signals and why traders need to be careful trading reversal trigger signals from extreme tops or bottoms that have not retraced into swing points. After these large moves, the big money will look to take some profit and this will cause the market to pause or retrace back higher slightly and possibly create a small pin bar, but by entering the market at this time you are entering when the big guys are just getting out.

This is also the period when price will normally rotate back into a value area and back into a key supply and demand area and give you a high probability trade to enter from a correct swing high or low rather than having to enter from the extreme high or low. What normally happens after the profit taking has stopped is that price will roll back over and continue with the momentum in the same direction that price was trading in previous to the pause or retrace and if there was a small pin bar or rejection candle they will normally get run over.

The Forex and Futures markets are no different than any other market or any other everyday goods in that supply and demand plays a huge role in the outcome on where the price is and where the price will go in the future. For all the information the market analysts write about the fundamentals and certain news announcements, including who is going to be making what announcements etc, the truth is, where price goes all comes down to who wins the supply and demand battle.

I really hope you have enjoyed this trading lesson and can use the information in your trading. If enjoyed this lesson or you have any questions, just add them in the comments section below;.

Join The Telegram Group To Get Your Supply and Demand Forex Trading Strategy Instant Access To The Beginners Course FREE Trading Signals Start Making pips per week Get Your PDF Price Action Guide with Telegram About Johnathon Fox Johnathon is a Forex and Futures trader with over ten years trading experience who also acts as a mentor and coach to thousands and has written for some of the biggest finance and trading sites in the world. Very informative with clarity and eye on details.

Your article is one of the best and kept me interested and following up till the end, not only that but also opened al the other links that you have indicated through the article for further reading. great work. I must say your info is far more useful then the vids on YT.

Keep up the good work. How to know when to open trades even if there is immediate retest of area of interest? Thank you for your wonderful and explicit teaching.

The difference between the swing point area and the supply level is not very clear. please can you explain with diagram. Great stuff. Taking trades from the correct swing points is what other professionals are not talking about. Traders need to strictly adhere to this point because it is the actual key to profitable trading. Thank you so very much for your insights. Beside all other materials, its is worth to reading your one. it feels like the authentic and perfect information.

I love to read and find something I need to look at before anything else…. I have read your all articles.. and a reason behind read your articles carefully is that you covered and explained all things in detail always.. I found your articles very interesting and I enjoyed reading all of it..

usually, people see video on Youtube if they want to get any information in detail about any topic.. but must say I read only your articles.. great work you people have done.. just keep it up..!! Always enjoying your articles, this one is again very well explained. Do you recommend then to enter exclusively reversal trades?

whilst reversal trades are great because they give us a high probability entry to get into retracements with the trend and also from solid areas in the market such as when price breaks out and makes a quick re-test, there are also other times where breakout and continuation trading is applicable and is handy to use.

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Finixio Ltd, Tower 42, 25 Old Broad Street, London EC2N 1HN [email protected]. Skip to primary navigation Skip to main content Skip to primary sidebar Skip to footer Supply and Demand Forex Trading Strategy With Free PDF. NOTE: You can download your Free Supply and Demand Trading Strategy PDF Guide Here How Does Does Supply and Demand Trading Work As I cover in greater depth in the trading tutorial To be a Successful Trader — Forget the News , traders move the markets and whilst traders can change their minds and be swayed on what way they are going to trade by many things, ultimately it is the traders who are buying and selling that makes price go up and down.

With the limit order entry, you cannot avoid this. So, you end up with a crap-ton of losing trades. You must wait for a pattern to form inside or at the edge of the zone before placing a trade.

This patience confirms the banks want price to reverse. The extra confirmation allows you to avoid zones where price just blows through. Zones still fail even with the right price action entry. It still stands as a better, safer way of trading the zones.

So, the point is clear: Stick to trading supply and demand with price action. Now you know how supply and demand works and the two ways you can trade the zones and which way is better. You are ready to begin using the strategy in your trading. Before you start trading Supply and Demand, there are a few key rules you need to understand to find the right zones on the chart and trade them correctly using your amazing new entry method.

If you search for supply and demand trading online, almost every guru will tell you old zones have the same probability of working as new zones, and those gurus are fine with you losing your trades.

It is one of the biggest lies in the supply and demand community, and if everyone would stop and think about it for a minute, they would understand why it simply does not make sense! The banks need to be buying and selling with huge orders. The banks cause the zones to form by placing a few positions. The banks make price return to get the rest of their orders placed.

Then, and ONLY THEN, can the banks set off the reversal. Now, here is my problem with the idea of old zones causing reversals. If the banks want price to return to a zone, whether to place trades, close trades, or take profits, they would want it to return quickly , relative to the timeframe they are trading. For one : the price action will have changed. Second : the economic situation would also be different, and possibly not in their favour. Plus : the orders entering the market might not be enough to fill their remaining positions.

So, it does not make sense the banks would wait a long time for price to return to a zone to get their remaining trades placed. The quicker they get their remaining positions placed, the less chance something could happen and change their outlook on the market: be it economically, price-action based, or something else, like maybe a pandemic.

You will often see price reverse from old zones, yes. But, it is not the zone causing the reversal. It is probably some other technical factor. You probably already know this; but, I thought I would put it in since it is a mistake I see many new supply and demand traders make all-too often.

It is all- too-common for price to spike through the edge of a supply or demand zone before reversing. If you put your stop at the edge rather than leaving a slight gap, the spike will take you out and make you miss what could be a successful trade. Just when it looked like price was about to reverse from this zone, price spiked through the upper edge. Bye, bye stop loss! To add further insult, price reversed in a big way soon after, meaning you missed out on a great trade as well as losing money — talk about a bad day at the office.

Add a few pips for higher time-frame zones: think 4-hour, daily. Remove a few for low time-frame zones: 5 minute, 15 minute, etc. Another big mistruth you will hear in the supply and demand community is the idea zones have the power to cause reversals more than once like support and resistance levels.

Supply and demand zones are ONE TIME USE: Not two times, or three times, one time ONLY. The only exception to this rule is if a zone forms at the top or bottom of a consolidation.

These zones can cause price to reverse two or three times. However, once the consolidation is over, the zone loses all its power and probably will not cause another reversal. Remember: the banks cause supply and demand zones to form because they cannot get all their positions placed in one go. Soon after placing what they can, they bring price back to the same point, the Supply of Demand zone, to get their remaining positions placed.

That way, they can place the trades within their position at a similar price. That allows them to make a similar level of profit from each trade with a similar amount of risk. After bringing price back to get their remining trades placed a first time, why bring it back again? They would only bring it back the first time if they knew enough orders were free to get their remaining positions placed.

Sure, price will return and reverse from the odd zone more than once, but it is not often. Supply and Demand is a MAJOR focus for me on this site. I have used the strategy for a long time. It is a core component of how I trade, and view the markets. That said, it was impossible for me to cover everything about supply and demand trading in this one writing. So below, I have put together a list of my Supply and Demand articles for you to add to the knowledge you have gained from this writing.

So, I created this book to clear them up. While Sam Seiden gets credit for coming up with Supply and Demand, many of the ideas he promotes about the strategy are flat out wrong and at odds with how the market really works. These two types of zones perform very different to one another due to what causes them to form. Read More. On top of two types of zones, they can also form for two different reasons: either the banks placing trades, or taking profits off trades.

Each type of zone has its own quirks and characteristics which, if you know, can help you trade them and make fewer mistakes. In the case of supply and demand, there are 3 key mistakes traders make over and over again that you MUST avoid to become successful.

When you fail to incorporate the nearby rises or declines when drawing the zone, you end up missing trades that otherwise would have been successful. The banks create supply and demand zones by entering significant trading positions. Smart money is the banks and other big insitions that create supply and demand zones. Support and resistance are price levels where price could reverse.

Supply and demand, on the hand, are price zones where price may reverse. Spend some time finding and drawing old zones. Over time your skills will improve until finding and drawing the zones will eventually become second nature.

For all other zones, though, only take the trade the first time price returns to a zone. Some can provide quality info, but most possess limited knowledge of how the zones work. So if you learn from these guys, expect heavy losses. If you learn from the people who use them in their trading, you should have a decent chance of becoming profitable.

for the entry signal we should go down to lower timeframe to find or just stay the current timeframe we trade at. Stick with the timeframe you trade off for now.

You can use a lower time-frame but I need to explain it more, as there are a few things you need to be aware of. this is piece of art. I have again some ideas how to read price. The profit-taking level should be the closest zone on the higher time-frame.

So if you trade off the 1 hour, you need to take profits once price reaches the next zone on the daily. If you trade off the 1 min or 5 min, take profits once price reaches the 1-hour zone. Wait for signs of a reversal first, and then take profits if you see something developing. Great post, you have taught me how to draw supply and demand zones. I have more idea now how to draw these zones. you enlighten me of some points as i am trading this method already. appreciating your efforts.

Hi great article! I just found about this website and it is really helpful. Do you have any tips about profit-taking strategies you use? Do you take some profit at the first trouble area or do you just wait for it to hit the target? I have been having an issue where I tend exit the trade pretty early so I usually only earn around 2Rs per trade. I feel like you never know if the price is gonna reverse at the first trouble area.

Did you ever has this issue when you were learning? I blog frequently and I really thank you for your content. The article has truly peaked my interest. Hello, Can you please explain more about the curve? I trade the daily time frame and using H1 for confirmation when the price reaches the daily zone. It kind of narrows your view of the market and what zones are important, I think. quick question. for test demand zone which candle must be appear red or green candle.

what if whole candle touch the demand zone without wick on distal line ,does it consider rejection? if i saw demand zone in Day chart , still i have to go small time frame or not. when should i go small time frame? your expedite reply would be wonderful.

thank you. As for daily zones, you can drop down to a lower timeframe if you want, it depends on your preferences really. Please what is your take on this? Thank you. Yes, you can trade them at anytime, Steve. Hi Liam thank you for the quality lesson above.

your material has proven helpful for me and i change my whole perspective on trading. Cheers, Liam. DON'T FORGET: Supply And Demand Course Now Available With VIP Membership. Find Out More. Part 1: Supply And Demand Trading Explained Before we get to grips with supply and demand as a strategy, we need to talk about the supply and demand as a concept.

In economics, the law of supply and demand determines the price people pay for a product. Sound familiar? These changes manifest visually as the rises, declines, and consolidations we see on our charts. When price rises, demand outstrips supply.

When price falls, supply outweighs demand. Supply outstrips demand for a while, as more and more people decide to sell. They see price fall, so they decide to sell themselves. On a chart, that process looks like this… First: the banks place what positions they can, and price shoots away.

Then: the banks can allow price to fully reverse, and a large move ensues. These are called supply and demand zones. Price moves from supply zones to demand zones and back: over and over again. Amazing, right? Demand Zones Demand Zones represent points where the banks have placed a significant number of buy positions. These are the support levels of supply and demand trading.

The point where price reverses is the demand zone. Supply Zones On the other side of the fence, we have supply zones. The point where price reverses, usually a prominent swing high, is the supply zone. If price returns here, it has a high probability of falling again. The Two Types Of Supply and Demand Zones We can break these Supply and Demand zones down even further. Rally — Base — Rally RBR and Drop — Base — Drop DBD Zones, 2.

Continuation Zones: Rally — Base — Rally and Drop — Base — Drop zones… Form, when price moves in one direction, Base, i. These zones always form mid-move, either from the banks taking profits or closing trades. On to reversal zones now… Reversal Zones: Rally — Base — Drop and Drop — Base — Rally zones… Form, when price reverses direction, Base, then Reverse and set off a new swing These zones form when one major swing changes to the other, usually caused by the banks buying or selling large quantities of currency.

Starting out, your goal is to simply gain experience finding and trading zones. Finding and Drawing Supply and Demand Zones: If you want to be successful trading supply and demand, you MUST master the finding of high probability zones and correctly drawing them on the chart. Well, what does that look like on a price chart?

Typically: a sharp rise, or a sharp decline, appears in price. So, to find supply and demand zones look for sharp rises and declines in price. But what causes the imbalance? Why has price suddenly shot higher? Because the banks have decided to enter a large buy position!

To locate Demand Zones, then, look for sharp rises… These reveal the banks have decided to take some action in the market, like place buy trades, which means price has a high probability of reversing once it returns to the source of the rise.

This is the demand zone. And with the zones marked, this is how it looks… Right away, you can see how almost all the zones resulted in price reversing or at least caused a reaction of some sort. Also, notice how the zones are drawn from the base?

This is the point where demand exceeded supply and price shot up. If we mark the zones on the chart, this is how it looks. Keep in mind: Zones are formed from ALL rises and declines , sharp or not.

This rise seems good enough. The point is where the banks placed their buy positions in this example. To draw this demand zone: Open the rectangle tool from the tool menu, and place the rectangle on the MOST RECENT SWING LOW that formed at the source of the move.

Technically, the swing low represents where the banks placed their buy positions. If you have drawn it correctly, it should look like this. Simple: draw the zone from low to the point where price took off. Nine times out of ten, that will suffice as a valid zone. On to supply zones: How To Draw Supply Zones The way we draw supply zones is practically the same as demand zones. We find the source of sharp decline : Place a zone on the most recent swing high , bringing it down to the last small candle that formed before the decline.

As with demand zones, we always draw supply zones from the base or source of the move. That is the point where the banks placed their sell positions. Once you have found the source: Place the rectangle tool on the most recent swing high, drag the opposite edge down to the LAST SMALL CANDLE that formed beforeprice fell sharply and created the first big bear candle in the down move. With the zone drawn, it should like this… You can see the top of the rectangle rests on the swing high and the lower edge sits on the open of the last small candle before price fell sharply, which was a bear candle in this example.

Look for the first big candle in the decline. That will give you a valid zone, just with a slightly bigger risk due to the increased size.

How to Trade Supply and Demand Zones As trading strategies evolve, new ways of trading them get created. Supply and Demand has also gone through this process, and today, there are TWO different ways of trading the zones… Price Action entry, and Set and Forget entry.

Each method has pros and cons, and it is possible to be successful with either. I have made money with both in my time trading Supply and Demand. Set and Forget Entry Popularized by Sam Seiden, the set and forget entry is the original way of trading supply and demand. With the set and forget method, you trade the zones using limit orders. With the entry placed, now put a stop loss at the opposite edge. Now, just wait to see what happens… In this case, the trade was successful: price came up, spiked the upper edge triggering our order , before reversing and moving lower.

The problem is: It is flawed in a way the price action entry simply is not.

IMPORTANT: Click Here To Download My Supply And Demand Guide As A PDF! Before we get to grips with supply and demand as a strategy, we need to talk about the supply and demand as a concept.

Now Forex, as well as all other markets, stocks, commodities, crypto, etc, are driven by supply and demand. News events, economic announcements, and general market action cause different groups of traders to buy and sell, resulting in changes to the supply and demand equation.

Observing the previous image, you can easily see how changes in supply and demand create the moves we see. First: Supply and demand are in relative balance, resulting in a consolidation. Supply is equal to demand. Second: for whatever reason, something changes, and supply suddenly outweighs demand. Third: demand really comes in and pushes price higher, setting off a new upswing. This continues before equal supply enters the market and creates equilibrium.

With supply and demand now in relative balance, price moves sideways, and we see a tight consolidation form. Of course, it also goes on hour, half-hour, quarter-hour, 5-minute, 1-minute, and yes, etc. How does the concept of supply and demand create a trading strategy we can use to anticipate where and when major market changing reversals could begin in the future?

Changes in supply and demand ONLY happen when the big traders buy or sell. Their positions are so large they must break them into smaller chunks and place each trade individually, around a similar price, to avoid pushing price away and potentially forcing their following entries at a worse price. This way they achieve the effect of placing one huge position, by placing a bunch of small ones instead. Their positions are often so big that not enough people exist on the opposite side , to get them placed, even if they break them down into smaller chunks.

The banks need thousands of other traders completing the opposite action for them to enter their positions; buying if they want to sell, or selling when the banks want to buy. To compensate, they must let price move away and make it return later to get the rest of their position entered. Next: the banks make price return to the source, the point they placed their initial position.

That way, they can enter their remaining positions like trades at a similar price, replicating placing one total position into the market. In supply and demand trading, our job is to locate and trade these points where the banks enter their positions. That will give us a low-risk entry with a very favourable risk to reward ratio. Demand Zones represent points where the banks have placed a significant number of buy positions. Demand Zones form when the banks place a large number, or size, of buy positions.

This creates excess demand, and results in the price reversing and moving higher. Supply zones show points where the banks place a significant number, or size, of sell positions and these are the resistance points where price could fall. Supply zones form when the banks decide to sell a large amount of currency.

This selling creates an excess of supply, which causes price to fall, creating the supply zone. We can break these Supply and Demand zones down even further. Now, we need a quick discussion about the two types of supply and demand zones. While supply and demand zones are the same thing, zones where price could reverse, the zones come in two types based upon whether they develop from a reversal or continuation. The two types are as follows: 1. Rally — Base — Rally RBR and Drop — Base — Drop DBD Zones,.

Rally — Base — Drop RBD and Drop — Base — Rally DBR Zones. Form, when price moves in one direction, Base, i.

e consolidates or pauses, then Continues in the same direction. They develop from banks placing a small number of positions into the market. That said; they can give you good trades here and there, especially if you know which zones to watch for in particular.

Form, when price reverses direction, Base, then Reverse and set off a new swing. These zones form when one major swing changes to the other, usually caused by the banks buying or selling large quantities of currency.

Reversal zones are the ones you should be trading using Supply and Demand methods. Reversal zones are formed by the banks and other big traders placing huge buy and sell positions. These zones are much larger when compared to the much smaller positions they place to create continuation zones. If you want to be successful trading supply and demand, you MUST master the finding of high probability zones and correctly drawing them on the chart.

It takes time, practice, and experience to get this right: But, I know a couple of tricks that should make everything much easier. But, stay with me, because I know a method you can use to make finding zones much easier. Supply and demand zones are formed by the banks buying and selling large quantities of currency, right? These tell-tale signs reveal the banks are buying or selling a large amount of currency, which means a massive build of supply or demand must exist at the source of the rise or decline.

These rises occur when a huge imbalance exists between supply and demand. Demand is outweighing supply in this case. Those actions ALL require the banks to buy. These reveal the banks have decided to take some action in the market, like place buy trades, which means price has a high probability of reversing once it returns to the source of the rise. And with the zones marked, this is how it looks…. Right away, you can see how almost all the zones resulted in price reversing or at least caused a reaction of some sort.

That gives you some idea of how accurate the zones are at predicting when and where price could reverse. To find supply zones we use the same process as with demand zones, only the other way around. Sharp declines occur when excess supply comes into the market, which happens when the banks sell.

This means it is likely the price will return to the same point, the supply zone, so they can get the rest of their positions executed. Again, almost all the zones cause some sort of price reaction. Most result in a large reversal. But, a couple only cause minor declines, which last for two or three hours. It will take some practice to get good at finding the right zones.

If you follow these guidelines, you will pick it up fast. Draw the zone too big and your risk will be higher. You must cover a larger area with the zone. Draw the zone too small, which is probably even worse, and price may not touch the edge before reversing. This will cause you to entirely miss the reversal and not get into a trade at all. To draw a demand zone , find a sharp rise where you think a zone has formed. Now you need to locate the source of the move. The source is the point where this most recent rise originated.

If the banks still have positions left to place, they will bring the price back to this point. We need to cover it with a zone large enough to ensure price reverses within it. Open the rectangle tool from the tool menu, and place the rectangle on the MOST RECENT SWING LOW that formed at the source of the move. The banks need sellers to buy from; remember, this is the key: opposing orders.

Leave the bottom edge of the zone on the low, and move the top edge up to the LAST SMALL CANDLE that formed before price shot upwards and created the first big bull candle. If the small candle is bullish, mark it to the close.

If the small candle is bearish, draw it to the open. The lower edge should sit on the most recent swing low, and the upper edge should rest on the last small candle before the first big candle appeared — a small bull candle in this case. No problem — draw the zone from the low to the point where price first breaks higher.

But, it will cover the right price range and provide a valid trade if price reverses. Place a zone on the most recent swing high , bringing it down to the last small candle that formed before the decline. If the banks still have positions left to enter, they will bring price back to this point to place their remaining positions at a similar price before causing the reversal.

Place the rectangle tool on the most recent swing high, drag the opposite edge down to the LAST SMALL CANDLE that formed beforeprice fell sharply and created the first big bear candle in the down move.

You can see the top of the rectangle rests on the swing high and the lower edge sits on the open of the last small candle before price fell sharply, which was a bear candle in this example. As trading strategies evolve, new ways of trading them get created.

Sometimes these ways work better than the previous methods or better suit a particular style of trading. Supply and Demand has also gone through this process, and today, there are TWO different ways of trading the zones…. Popularized by Sam Seiden, the set and forget entry is the original way of trading supply and demand. The idea is that by placing a limit order at the edge of the zone, when price returns, it will execute the order and put you into the trade. The downside being price may just blast through the zone, causing you to lose money, which happens a lot!

If price is going to reverse from the zone, it must at least breach the closest edge, either by spiking through or by moving in via normal price action. In this case, the trade was successful: price came up, spiked the upper edge triggering our order , before reversing and moving lower.

Like I said, the limit order entry is a decent way of trading supply and demand. I used it for a long time, and the results were overall pretty great.

With the price action entry, you trade the zones using price action, candlestick patterns to be exact. Look for pin bars or engulfing candles to form inside a zone and then enter. These price-action candles indicate the banks are interested in making price move away. Now with the price action entry, we must wait for price to enter or touch the edge of the zone BEFORE entering.

Always Put Your Stop Slightly Outside the Zone You probably already know this; but, I thought I would put it in since it is a mistake I see many new supply and demand traders make all-too often. I have been having an issue where I tend exit the trade pretty early so I usually only earn around 2Rs per trade. I will attest to that. Top 5 Best Forex Stochastic Oscillator Trading Strategies That Work FOREX SCALPING: 5-Minute EMA Stochastic SCALPING Strategy High Winrate Strategy. I feel like you never know if the price is gonna reverse at the first trouble area. in Forex.

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